Basic Craps Strategy

Written by Boris Atanasov
With more than 4+ years of experience in the iGaming industry, Boris Atanasov writes exciting content about slots, video poker, roulette and blackjack.
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Craps may be a game of pure chance, but playing without a plan is almost always a recipe for failure. Many bets carry a high house edge that can erode any profits you have already made. A solid strategy, on the other hand, can help minimize losses and extend your playing sessions, even with a modest bankroll.

Before we examine the components of a basic craps strategy, it is important to note that no strategy can guarantee long-term winnings in craps. The nature of the game makes complex strategies and betting systems ineffective. Players should remember that their decisions cannot influence the outcome. Each result is random and depends solely on the roll of two dice.

For a craps strategy to succeed, it must account for several factors, including each player’s goals and resources: how much they can afford to bet and lose, how long they intend to play, their knowledge of the game, and their tolerance for risk. When outlining the main points of our strategy, we should also identify the bets that will form its foundation, as well as those we should avoid.

This article presents some of the safest and most effective tactics for playing craps, both online and in land-based casinos. These tips should prove useful to novices and experienced players alike.

The Best Bets for a Successful Strategy

One of the first things to consider when learning how to play craps is the variety of available bets. Most casinos offer between 30 and 40 different bets – some focus on a particular number, such as 7, whereas others cover large groups of numbers and are therefore more likely to win. However, to ensure a steady profit, casinos tend to pay at odds that are significantly lower than the true mathematical odds of these wagers.

Still, certain craps bets offer a low house edge of around 1.40%, and these are the wagers players should consider fundamental to their strategy. It is also essential to differentiate between single and multi-roll bets, as they differ dramatically in house-edge percentages, overall complexity, and level of difficulty.

Which Bets to Make?
blank Which Bets to Avoid?

Which Bets to Make?

Every sound craps strategy begins with the Pass Line bet. It is the most basic craps wager, and the game cannot begin without it. In land-based casinos, the shooter is required to make the Pass Line bet or its opposite, the Don’t Pass bet. In online games, players must sometimes place chips on the Pass Line to start the game.

So, what is the Pass Line? With this wager, players bet that the shooter will roll a 7 or 11 before crapping out by rolling 2, 3, or 12. After a point is established, players hope that the point will be rolled before a 7. Those who opt for the Don’t Pass bet generally win when Pass Line bettors lose and lose when Pass Line bettors win. These wagers pay even money, which is not particularly impressive. However, they offer favorable odds and a low house edge.

Focusing on so-called “right” betting, the Pass Line bet offers true odds of 251:244. The chances of winning and losing are nearly identical, while the house edge is 1.41%. The same applies to the Come bet, which is similar to the Pass Line bet except that it is placed after the point has been established rather than at the beginning of a new round.

Furthermore, taking Odds on a Pass Line bet can be an even better tactic because the Odds bet has no house edge. Often referred to as Free Odds, this option acts as an addition to the main Pass Line or Come bet. Players effectively increase the amount wagered by adding 1x, 2x, 5x, 10x, or more to the original bet. The Odds taken behind Pass Line and Come bets can be increased, decreased, or removed at any time.

With this combination, the house edge falls to 0.80% with single odds, 0.6% with double odds, and 0.4% with 3x-4x-5x odds. It declines further to 0.3% with 5x odds, 0.2% with 10x odds, and 0.02% with 100x odds. Another important point is that Pass Line and Come bets are both multi-roll wagers, which means they usually require several rolls of the dice before being settled.

This gives players the opportunity to place additional bets, hedge their main wagers, or create different patterns based on Pass Line and Come bets. For example, a player can make a Pass Line bet, wait for the point, take Odds, and then place a Come or Don’t Come bet. If the main bet remains unresolved after the next roll, the player can add more Come bets, take Odds on the Come bets, and so on.

Another option is to incorporate Place bets on 6 and 8 into a basic craps strategy because 6 and 8 are the most likely numbers to be rolled after 7. These two bets offer favorable odds and a house edge of 1.52%.


Which Bets to Avoid?

As noted above, most craps bets carry a high house edge. In many cases, it exceeds not only the 1.41% theoretical edge of the Pass Line but also the house edge of other table games such as blackjack, poker, baccarat, or roulette. Players should remember that the house edge is a theoretical advantage calculated over an almost unlimited number of games, and real-life results rarely match the expected value.

The house edge indicates the average outcome players can expect from a particular craps bet. Wagers with a higher house edge are generally less favorable to players than those with a much lower percentage. In fact, most proposition bets are considered “sucker” bets because of the extremely high mathematical advantage they give casinos. Here are the worst bets in craps:

  • Any 7: 16.67%
  • 2: 13.89%
  • 12: 13.89%
  • Whirl: 13.33%
  • Horn: 12.50%
  • Yo (11): 11.11%
  • 3: 11.11%
  • Hi-Lo (2 or 12): 11.11%
  • Craps Numbers (2, 3, or 12): 11.11%
  • C&E Bet: 11.11%
  • Hard 4/Hard 10: 11.11%

These bets should be avoided, especially by novices. However, they can be incorporated into a specific betting pattern and combined with wagers that offer significantly better odds. Consistently betting on 7 is likely to deplete a player’s bankroll quickly over time.

Betting on the Dark Side

Another effective tactic many experienced craps players, particularly online, like to adopt is betting the “wrong” way. The term refers to the Don’t Pass and Don’t Come wagers, where players essentially bet against the shooter. These bets offer even better odds than their “right” counterparts – the Pass Line and the Come bet. Several other “wrong” betting options also exist, and all come with appealing opportunities to optimize your session.

However, dark siders – players who bet on the shooter to lose – are not always welcomed at the craps table. Usually, all players bet with the shooter – i.e. that the shooter will either toss a 7 or 11 in the come-out roll or the point number after a certain point has already been established. Those who bet on the dark side, however, hope the shooter will lose, and with him, everyone else at the table.

This explains why most people who play live craps in a brick-and-mortar casino prefer to be right bettors – they win or lose together, creating a sense of community and solidarity unique to the game. Online players, however, have nothing to worry about when betting against the shooter because online craps is offered only in its virtual, RNG form. In that environment, you play solo against computer software rather than against a dealer or other players. Below, you can see the advantages of adopting a dark sider’s strategy.

blank Don’t Pass and Don’t Come Bets
blank Lay Bets

Don’t Pass and Don’t Come Bets

Just as the Pass Line and Come bets are almost identical, their opposites, the Don’t Pass and Don’t Come wagers, are also practically the same. The only difference between them is the timing. The Don’t Pass bet can be placed before a new come-out roll, while the Don’t Come bet is available after a point has been established and the second phase of the game has begun. Both bets pay close to true odds, with a 1:1 payout against odds of 976:949.

The Don’t Pass and Don’t Come bets offer the lowest house edge in the game. It is 1.36% when the bet pushes if 12 is rolled during the come-out roll. The basic rules of the Don’t Pass bet are straightforward: it wins if 2 or 3 appears on the come-out roll and loses if 7 or 11 is rolled. If the dice show 12, the bet is considered a tie. If the shooter rolls any other number, that number becomes the point. Don’t Pass bettors then win if the shooter rolls a 7 before repeating the point.

Taking Odds on Don’t Pass or Don’t Come bets can reduce the already low house edge further. Odds are taken in the same manner described above, and most casinos allow Odds of up to 5x the size of the main bet. Some casinos and online games offer even higher Odds, reducing the house edge to nearly zero. It is 0.682% with single odds, 0.455% with 2x odds, and 0.431% with full double odds.

The house edge decreases further to 0.341% with 3x odds, 0.273% with 3x-4x-5x odds, and 0.227% with 5x odds. Players who find a casino offering even larger Odds bets will face an even lower house edge of 0.124% with 10x odds, 0.065% with 50x odds, or 0.014% with 100x odds.


Lay Bets

Another option for wrong-side bettors in craps is to place Lay bets on 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, or 10. These are the same numbers that can become points during the come-out roll and the same numbers that right-side bettors use for Place and Buy bets. Wrong-side bettors, however, can use Lay bets to choose which number to bet against. In other words, Lay betting is the wrong-side equivalent of Buy betting, which pays at true odds minus a 5% commission.

When players lay a number, they are betting that the shooter will roll a 7 before that number appears. This wager can be made at any time, either before or after a point has been established. Because Lay bets are the opposite of Buy bets, their true odds and payout odds are reversed. For example, the odds of a Lay bet on 4 or 10 winning are 1:2, meaning that players are twice as likely to win as to lose. The payout is also 1:2, but a 5% commission, also known as vigorish or vig, is charged on the winnings.

To win a specific amount with a Lay bet, players must first stake twice that amount. If a player lays $20 on 4, for example, and the shooter rolls a 7 before rolling a 4, the player wins $10 in addition to receiving the original stake back. The odds and payouts of these bets vary depending on the number the player chooses to lay. Some casinos charge the 5% commission on the wager rather than the winnings. The resulting house edge is 1.67% when laying 4 or 10, 2% when laying 5 or 9, and 2.27% when laying 6 or 8.

Hedge Betting and the Iron Cross Strategy

What is Hedge Betting?

The Iron Cross Strategy

Hedge betting is a popular tactic among craps and roulette players. It involves placing additional bets to offset the weaknesses of an existing wager. Borrowed from the world of finance, hedging in gambling allows players to balance the risks associated with their previous bets. With this approach, craps players try to protect themselves against losses. Hedge bets can be helpful in some situations, but in others they may not effectively protect a player’s money.

One of the most common hedge-betting methods is to place a Pass Line bet and hedge it with an Any Craps bet. This is typically done before the come-out roll. Five units are wagered on the Pass Line, and a 1-unit bet is placed on Any Craps. The Pass Line pays 1:1 when a 7 or 11 appears, while Any Craps pays 7:1 when a 2, 3, or 12 is rolled. This hedge strategy has several possible outcomes:

  • 7 or 11 on the come-out roll: The Pass Line wins 5 units, while Any Craps loses 1 unit, for an overall profit of 4 units.
  • 2, 3, or 12 on the come-out roll: Players lose 5 units on the Pass Line but win 7 units on Any Craps, for a net profit of 2 units.
  • The roll establishes a point: Players lose 1 unit on the Any Craps bet, and the Pass Line remains active for subsequent rolls.

If the come-out roll produces an immediate outcome, players finish the sequence with a profit. However, the dice will most often land on one of the point numbers. According to the game’s probabilities, 7 or 11 appears an average of 8 times in 36 rolls, compared with 4 times for the craps numbers. On average, the shooter establishes a point 24 times in 36 rolls, which also means 24 losses for the Any Craps bet.

Overall, players who use this tactic are expected to gain 16 units per 36 come-out rolls from these initial-roll outcomes. If they skip the Any Craps hedge, they will complete a 36-roll cycle with 8 wins of 5 units, 4 losses of 5 units, and 24 unresolved rolls. That produces an overall profit of 20 units from the resolved outcomes, which is more than the expected return when the hedge bet is used.

There are other ways to hedge primary bets, and some are more effective at protecting the Pass Line or Come bet than others. Nevertheless, even when these wagers offset certain weaknesses, they introduce additional risks. For this reason, hedge betting is better suited to experienced players who understand the game and are fully aware of the risks.

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Bankroll Management

1Learn The Rules of the Game

Players who want to make informed decisions at the craps table should learn the rules of the game and become familiar with all available bets. It is also advisable to stick to bets with a low house edge and combine them carefully. However, this cannot guarantee success because craps is a game of chance with completely random outcomes.

2Set Your Craps Budget

Those who want to avoid losing all their money at the craps tables should adopt a solid bankroll management plan. They should start by defining their bankroll, including how much they are willing to wager during each session and, more importantly, how much they are prepared to lose. Players should also understand that craps favors the casino rather than the player because the house has a long-term mathematical advantage.

3Start With Betting the Table Minimum

Once players have considered these fundamental concepts, they should structure their bankroll and bets in a way that can help extend their playing sessions. It is also better to start a craps game by betting the table minimum. Online craps can be a useful alternative to live tables because it often allows wagers as low as $1. The less players stake on each roll of the dice, the longer their bankroll will last. If they start with $1 bets, they should have a bankroll of at least $100. A larger bankroll can make it easier to absorb losses.

4Avoid Props Bets and Progressive Betting Systems

Finally, players should avoid prop bets and progressive betting systems at all costs. These strategies do not eliminate the house edge and can result in substantial losses. Betting progressions also rely on flawed concepts such as predictable winning and losing streaks or hot and cold dice. In reality, each roll of the dice is completely random and independent of the previous and subsequent rolls, so players should not assume that they are more likely to win after five losses.

Overall, money management is extremely important when playing craps, just as it is in any form of gambling. This section is not intended to be a detailed or comprehensive guide to managing your craps bankroll, so players should consult the dedicated bankroll management page for more information.

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